The inevitable Human Prospects, as seen from 2025…

 We live in times of change and most things are too blatant to be ignored. Every century the world order can be roughly divided into phases of Stability, Hubris, Catastrophe, Chaos, Destruction, Change, Rebuilding and Stability again. Human Society too goes through these phases socially in a very constant microscopic drip by drip manner. Wherein the resulting generation of people at the end of the century are very different to even the ones from the middle of the century, this is an irrefutable phenomenon. Sometimes better off and sometimes worse off. Female mental health and changes in their behavioral traits are the most obvious metrics of this phenomena. Lately, this is supplemented by a massive breakthrough in Artificial Intelligence driven automation and mechanization of processes, previously held only by human beings with respect to Thinking, conceptualization and decision making.

In the beginning of 20^th century we had fairly stable economic environment, leading into major avoidable mistakes that resulted in First World War. The outcome made the world more chaotic, resulting in the second world war. This gave rise to the Present World Order, resulting in a new system being rebuilt. Consequent to this, we have had a somewhat stable world order for almost 50 years.

This has been mostly similar in 19^th, 18^th, 17^th and even 16^th century. Wherein every century gave rise to a new world order and successive phases of stability and destruction.

The 21^st century is no different, we entered the 2000s on an economic high and systemic stability. As soon as we entered this century, the Dot com bubble burst, major geo political issues popped up due to terrorism and ideological divergence. Terrorism, to Brexit to Islamic lunacy to US Deep State poison and now to Decadent Social Mutations. With all this on one side, the existing world order initiated the war on terror, insane geo military assaults and thus, catastrophic anarchy was born at many places from Syria to Libya, from Pakistan, Afghanistan to Venezuela and recently even Bangladesh & Ukraine. We are now in midst of searing geo political tensions from Ukraine to Israel to Iran with some avoidable but serious military conflicts in the works. This will inevitably result in a major chaos, once again resulting in all-out war and destruction. All this is Just a question of when and not if.

What is the final consequence of the all this? As mentioned before, destruction results in rebuilding and an establishment of new world order. That means we are now entering the phase of chaos followed by mass destruction very soon. This period may last for a decade or two and a whole generation of people will end up ruining their prospects to a good stable life. This has happened every time over the centuries, where at least 1 or 2 generations ruin their lives for the future generations to prosper.

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) has collapsed below prescribed 2.1 in most non-African Countries and some loony theocratic countries and immigration has or will become a dirty word for most of the countries the world over, for legitimate reasons. So, the largely populated nations like China & India will not be the same 20 years from now.

China’s population decline has already begun and in India, the South Indian population decline will start from 2030s and north Indian population decline from mid 2040s. So, a China with fewer people and also India with nation wide population decline from 2040s, would mean that approximately 3 billion people in 2024, will probably only be 2.4 billion in 2050. The rest of the world Excluding, Pakistan, Afghanistan and African countries are already going through a major population decline. Some western countries will temporarily patch it up with immigration, but that will not be sustainable.

Now all the above issues mentioned creates a strange phenomenon. As mentioned earlier, the best metric to see the effects of these changes are female mental health and changes in their behavioral patterns.

The TFR dropping below 2.1 is a sure shot mathematical guarantee of decline in population, starting with the 3^rd generation. TFR rates have declined for multitude of social, economic and cultural reasons, but one reason stands out and this rarely can ever be reversed, short of a cataclysmic event of destruction or annihilation.

This is corporatization of womanhood and femineity. Approximately, four generations of women across the planet have been sold a false concept that behaving and living like male counterparts give women a fulfilling life.

It has taken almost 70 years for this concept to be repeatedly proven incorrect. As the female mental illness in most western countries sky rocket, followed closely by the eastern societies, the concept of being enslaved to a job like men and not having a family is creating a void in women, which they egoistically deny and is resulting in destructive behavioral traits of ADHD, substance abuse, alcoholism, obesity, fatal hormonal imbalance, inability to pair bond, lack of empathy, reduced reasoning skills or being even open to reason and extremely poor temperament. All this puts these derailed women on a faster path of societal self-destruction and by its corresponding virtue of non-dependability through their artificial need for independence. This results in further reduction of TFR. Thus, a vicious cycle is created. USA, Canada, most of Europe, Japan, South Korea and to some extent both China & India are the prime examples of this bad phenomenon.

So, we now have the first major problem of sub replacement level TFR, with huge societal decay supplementing as a result. This is now gradually followed by automation and (AI) Artificial Intelligence, i.e. cannibalizing Human requirements in workforce.

Phases of Mechanization for all history has always destroyed the financial prospects of one generation of dated job seekers and one generation of mid to low level employees. So, it is already an established fact of creative destruction, but there is a big catch with present automation and AI incorporation.

It has always been the case that no matter the mechanizations, automation and any other computerization of routine work, the human being was always at the helm of thinking and decision making. This is changing for the very first time in Human History.

The Artificial Intelligence is now doing the thinking for the Human Beings and replacing human necessity from conceptualization phase to final product output, through absolute automation, removing even decision-making human interface to a very large degree.

For Example, in terms of software development, AI automation can code from the most basic to the even most complex program, with very minimal human interface.

In terms of automobiles, from design to production, AI Automation in theory can replace almost all legacy decision-making human interface, apart from a few.

Even entertainment for recreation and leisure, in the near future, will gradually become, highly custom-made AI driven, with absolute minimum requirement for a living talent.

The medical fields will enter a completely new era of human cyborg hybrid treatments, with custom made plans and treatments.

The above examples of AI proliferation and evolution, where data analysis and implementation done so efficiently, will literally not just destroy generations of job seekers and employees, it will obliterate economic prospects for huge section of the population, once again contributing towards low TFR, Societal Decay, so on and so forth.

So, in conclusion we have entered a chaotic phase closely followed by the destructive phase next. The corresponding new world order that is under prospective formation and may probably see the light of the day in 2050s, is not meant for those born before 2000s. Thus, like all previous centuries, two generations of people born before 2000s will have no prospects of a good life ahead.

(In Cricketing Terms) Pathetic start to a daunting chase with an all-powerful Anglo Saxon Deep state poisoning most players… God Save India

 (In Cricketing Terms)

Pathetic start to a daunting chase with an all-powerful Anglo Saxon Deep state poisoning most players… God Save India

 

• ·         The pathetic Start

                The Third term of NaMo started with June 4^th 2024 results and since then 2 months have passed. It has been absolutely pathetic when it comes to performance on any metric of evaluation.

                The government has been very lethargic in even basic appearance, leave aside the actual response which has been hilariously underwhelming to say the least.

                The government aside, the BJP as a party has failed miserably to even get its house in order post the result and are still yet to comprehensively figure out what went wrong in the lok sabha election of 2024.

                The mistakes, errors and all the purposeful wrong doings of the 2019-24 period is all coming out and it stinks.

                The repealing of farm laws, the handling of Shaheen bagh & wrestler protests and the tax burden on public was always atrocious, but it was hoped to have been brushed under the carpet with Ram Mandir and victories in 2023 state elections. None of this was forgotten, Haryana punished BJP, where Jats are all but gone out of party’s electorate kitty and BJP’s alternatives are not adding up.

                UP has been made an employment and business opportunity for rest of India, especially Gujaratis, whereas UP natives have been made to watch this unfair shit show, no wonder BJP lost so big there.

                Pissing off the Rajputs, ignoring the Hindu Resolve at the altar of idiotic fairness and putting up uninspiring leaders on the throne has given the BJP a slap in Rajasthan.

                Maharashtra and its rural distress were ignored and the states electorate has pulled the rug under the BJP feat. Now the party also has to carry unwanted ally burden.

                Gujarat is not doing well either, but looks good from outside only because of a contemporary deal of having Namo as the PM.

                Karnataka is even worse, the LOP in Assembly is a corrupt ass, the state president is nepotistic, dynastic and casteist wolf.

                None of the above have been even remotely fixed by the BJP post the results of 2024 LS. The Government which had claimed big 100-day plans and has not even moved an inch in that direction.

                The budget 2024 was a snooze fest and nothing extraordinary, either political or electoral gains will come out of this for BJP.

                Only pragmatism, pro activeness of the highest order and God’s grace can Save BJP going forward. Its now time for Lord RAM to actually bless India and BJP’s fortune for the Ram Mandir consecration.

 

• ·         Poisoning by the Anglo-Saxon Deep state

The situation is so bad geo politically in south Asia/Indian subcontinent (excluding India) that even small inconsequential nations such as Maldives have become irretrievably anti India.

Some of Maldives’s insanity is just pure religious hatred against Hindus and some of it is Chinese meddling for its own benefit.

But the big 3, namely: Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh have been a complete United states deep state led regime change atrocity on a massive scale.

 Pakistan had a fraud like Imran khan hoisted by its Military, who lost favor of the US Deep State. Was acrimoniously removed and illegally incarcerated on charges which have no value in that morally forsaken land called Pakistan, where everyone and his aunt is a psycho.

Sri Lanka’s leadership by Rajapakshe was clobbered into submission by pukeworthy regime change protest riot instigated by the Deep state on charges not of any value to the Sri Lankans.

Bangladesh has been the worst and the most heart wrenching regime change operation by the US Deep State. Non-Elected Courts passing insane orders, legislature made to pay the price. The opposition funded the evil protests by sub human Bengalis, resulting in collapse of the only sane government leadership option available.

Sad and shocking part is that, this play was exactly followed in the Manipur flare up in India, with Courts playing havoc. Deep State was very much involved in this too.

Hasina the Ex PM of Bangladesh was a quintessential pragmatist. The Deep State was pissed off because their dog, Mr. Younus the fraud Banker was not allowed by Hasina to rob Bangladesh of its sovereignty and she also did not allow the Deep state to colonize the awful country called Bangladesh for a military base. Thus, one of the crudest Regime - change operation was put up and the nation destroyed to satisfy the prospective goals of the deep state.

                With all this happening around, India was never and also is still not immune to the regime change operation of the deep state. In fact, it’s more susceptible now to extra constitutional regime changes than ever in in its past, considering how compromised our internal bureaucracy and agencies are, with the government looking tired and passive; fully ripe for all kinds of external poisoning.

                The BSF is woefully corrupt and inefficient as is our border infrastructure. We are insanely dependent of USA now for jet engines to power our, yet to fight, ingenious fighter LCA Tejas and our Airforce is shockingly underequipped in squadron strength. Our Army is still wasting time in picking a good indigenous artillery options in hopes of perfection, continuing the 90’s mindset. The navy is still in its growing stage with serious lack of numbers underwater.

All of the above points towards a massive once in a century storm coming our way and as said before, only God’s grace with active dedication towards expediting & implementing sane policies will save India.

2024 Thriller General Elections and its Crucial Message.

 First thing one should never do is blame the voter. Only in rarest of rarest circumstances can voter be castigated for a blatantly bad choice.

                Never in India’s history has the voter picked a worse off government among the choices in front of it. Even the so called Bad 2004 result against NDA, was the right call, considering the poor were not taken care of by the Central Government.

                We should also remember and acknowledge 3 basic things in India i.e. Casteism, Ignorance (low IQ/Stupidity) and lack of basic resources, which impacts an overwhelming percentage of the population. Even the population which is not poor, suffers from these problems.

                Caste in India is an all-encompassing negative social reality that cannot be wished away and in some specific cases is actually a social virtue, regrettably.

                The quality of Human Resource in India is abysmal, but the quantity of Human Resource is abundant. The standard of living for majority in India is very bad and, in some states, are at sub-Saharan levels. All this leads to physically, mentally and also socially mediocre populace.

                Huge population, low resources, massive social barriers and sub - standard quality of electorate results in one clear electoral message.

                Amongst many things, the winner is always the one who has the best caste combo, best-(simple) messaging and lots of robin hood subsidies.

                Namo led BJP had none of the above in Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Haryana. BJP lost 60 odd seats in these states.

The BJP’s policies and also political taste has become stale across India. If the BJP takes the same route, it is on now, in 2029 they will lose power at the center.

I was very confident that NDA would not even get 335 in 2024, when everyone was saying 400.

But even I did not expect a result this mediocre.

 

Now what’s the immediate remedy midterm solutions and long-term strategies, required for NDA to win and hold power in states and also center beyond 2029.

1.       Better Candidate selection. Drop the ones beyond 2 terms, with small exceptions and make sure you get the caste combination correct.

2.       Doles, freebies and large welfare subsidies to all from poor to upper middle class. Lower fuel prices, lower toll charges, DBT to poor (especially women), lower Income and GST tax rates. Cut down on Government Capex and persuade more Private Capex.

3.       Instagram, YouTube and Massive new age tech messaging which is simple and easy to understand in local languages.

4.       Lots of court cases need to be piled up on NDA opponents and their ecosystem.

5.       Padayatra by the middle Rung Leaders across all states.

6.       Heavy investment in Judicial Activism against opposition parties and their policy agendas.

7.       Finally, lot more GIFT like centers across all states.

With all this, I still think BJP would do poorly in Haryana and Maharashtra, but I don’t know how well Congress would do. They are not the kind who repeat success consistently and history tells us they also accumulate a lot of anti-incumbencies very soon.

My only doubt is Congress and how much of the new votes they have received in 2024 general elections, will they hold on to, till in vidhan sabha elections?

                I personally see no great improvement by NaMo or BJP going forward, seeing the same worn-out Cabinet in place.

Only Hope is I may have underestimated BJP and overestimated Congress.

Rest is all fate from now on, because I as a BJP supporter, has been completely let down by Namo and BJP from 2020 onwards on 70 % of all its policies.

Strange Geo Politics and stranger China…

 

Strange Geo Politics and stranger China…

 

What is happening with China with its geo political neighbours is strange to say the least. They have blatantly opened four fronts and have covertly opened up three more fronts of confrontation geo politically.

 

Blatant Confrontations

1. Military conflict with India at the border.
2. Offensive Military posture in South China Sea (Taiwan/Vietnam).
3. Trade War with USA.
4. Hong Kong

 

Covert Confrontations

1.      Against Russia by Stealing Russian Military Technology.

2.      Against Western Powers (Mostly USA) by Interfering and fishing in troubled diplomatic waters of Iran.

3.      Against Japan and Australia by illegally usurping trade routes in the high seas.

 

Most importantly, we have to Add to all this as a negative icing on the cake, COID 19 Pandemic from Wuhan, CHINA.

 

The International public perception of China is at its lowest ebb and the chances of any country other than its vassal debt trap ridden states like Pakistan or Loony Rogue states like North Korea, every other country will think twice before voicing any support to CHINA now.

 

The question is of the above mentioned 7 Confrontations initiated by China, 5 are thoroughly unnecessary and absolutely counter productive to China’s self interest.

 

Apart from Trade war with USA and inevitable illegal reverse engineering of Russian weapons, all other issues could have been avoided by China. But they did not and initiated counter productive strange confrontations when they are at their lowest approval rating abroad.

 

Why?

My only guess is that Xi Jinping is under pressure inside CCP and he does not want to loose power. He and his people are doing things to hold on to their power and some detractors within the CCP system are hell bent in denying the same.

In anyway one sees it from outside, simple logic says, its going to end badly for China. Next 2 years are very exciting for any person who dislikes China.

 

One thing that is very strange is the reaction of USA/INDIA/JAPAN/AUSTRALIA and TAIWAN. All these countries seem to be building up militarily and expecting a fight with China. But why is China giving these counties a chance to build up in the first place? One thing is certain, once these counties build up, they will be forced to remain on constant vigil and it becomes impreganable for the China to do anything, making this entire exercise even more counter productive to China!

Whatever be the case, I expect a series of extra ordinary and unbelievably bad things happening to China in the next 24 months…

 

Strange Geo Politics…

Another bullseye, Congress Hit hard…

I was so right about the congress party after 2019 General elections in India. One could see this coming from a mile away.

Don’t want to repeat what I said from the beginning, interested ones can go check my previous blogs on the timeline.

But would make some generalised predictions again based on recent actions on the political front.

1.     Due to exit of Scindia, Pilot and some other politicians from INC, the second rung leadership of congress is comatose for another decade.

2.     Any further loss of leaders from congress due to age or exit will certainly be not compensated.

3.     This will create a political vacuum and this creates an electoral run over.

4.     BJP is now officially the only party viable in central India.

5.     This means the BJP will have an electoral superiority over congress in GJ, MP, RJ and MH. This gives a BJP a 70 to 90 seats head start over Congress in the Lok Sabha 2024.

6.     Add to this UP, DL, HR, HP, UK, North East, BH, CG, JH, OR, WB and KAR.

7.     BJP will at worst case scenario now is looking at 200 seats minimum and Congress 80 seats at maximum.

How in the world will INC come to power at 80 seats????

Again I say this emphatically, the head start of 70 to 90 seats is what is making such a big difference between INC and BJP.

Let’s now look at what INC is looking at best case scenario.

1.     Can INC make the losses it is having transferred to Regional parties?

No, it can’t be done; the head start states are two party states. Neither can the benefits be redirected to anyone else. So, the best case scenario is to ride it out and hope anti incumbency hits BJP in 2029.

2.     Hope for leadership change and devise a major restructuring of the INC by 2022. It will be a miracle if it happens as the ideology of INC itself has to change.

My guess none of this will happen, the ecosystem will start biting the First family of INC very soon. They will also encounter internal wars and massive devastation of party apparatus.

What is INC 2020 looking at?

What is INC 2020 looking at?

            Even the most optimistic of the congress supporters acknowledge that INC is not in good health. In reality, the problems with regards to INC is not just organisational and electoral, it has gone even beyond political affairs.

            The Pro-INC left liberal eco system is collapsing and BJP is taking over that vacated space swiftly and in the left over abandoned space, small, ineffectual, fragmented entities are filling up that vacuum.

Where does that leave INC from 2020 onwards?

1. Departure of Mr. J. Scindia from INC will have massive negative impact on Congress both in MP and also surrounding states. It will have a marginal positive impact on BJP in surrounding states of MP and a big impact in MP state itself.
2. In Lok Sabha context, the INC will have a hard time touching double digits in MP and all surrounding states combined in 2024.
3. So, INC will most likely look at a 2014 and 2019 scenario repeat again for itself. That is mostly self-inflicted, Delhi 2020 being a prime example, where INC committed Political and electoral suicide just to defeat BJP.
4. The most valuable product of INC is its left liberal ecosystem, spreading from bureaucracy to judiciary to media to NGO and what not.
5. These people who are part of the ecosystem are on their death beds, some of them have even called it a day.
6. The most pertinent question is what is next?

The most optimistic scenario for the party seems to be the one which is the most difficult to implement. It is a fact that Nehru family is the glue that holds the party together.

In India’s Electoral Politics today, INC becomes politically unviable without Nehru family and becomes electorally unviable with the Nehru family. So it is damned if you do and damned if you don’t.

The best way forward for the INC is to just bite the bullet and get rid of Nehru Family through an internal Coup. The party will suffer enormous loss of political clout and organisational cohesion in the short to medium term. Their will be a definite string of defeats and political chaos everywhere, but it will all settle down in 10 years.

Within the decade, their will be native leaders who will gradually come and take up the responsibility the party. By 2030, INC can then hope of a better future, but if they continue this same path, less said the better about future prospects…

AAP won because INC exterminated themselves in 2020.

AAP won because INC exterminated themselves 2020.

            I was bang on BJP vote share, was way off on AAP because INC committed suicide and killed own party in Delhi forever.

1. BJP got 39% vote share, in a 3 corner fight with AAP being stronger, BJP should have ended up with 25 seats.
2. AAP should have been stuck around 40 seats with 42 % vote share, but now they got an extra 10% vote share from congress taking them to 52%.
3. This is insane, Congress is dead in Delhi, and it is over. Even with coalition with AAP in LOK SABHA, the party will loose every seat it contests in 2024.
4. Contrary to popular opinion AAP will remain stuck in Delhi for another decade at minimum.

The trough of BJP state election downslide is complete with this election. NDA will win Bihar. As of today it will be 90 BJP, 50 JDU, and 20 LJP.

Apart from some setbacks in Utharkand and PUNJAB VS elections, BJP will win all other states.

Congress will loose Madhya Pradesh and north east very badly.

Rajasthan, Uthar Pradesh, Gujarat and Chhattisgarh BJP will win handsomely.