The first and last to fall, demoted Liberals!
First to fall…
The way
things are going for the BJP and in the opposition, the game cannot be more one
sided. If Politics in India
was a Test cricket game and 2019 was a fresh start (2nd test) with
BJP winning the toss, then here is how it looks:
1. The
pitch is very green with lots of moisture and overcast condition and BJP does
not have many batsmen suitable for this sort of pitch and those batsmen apart
from captain NaMo/Vice captain Amit Shah & Rajnath Singh no one has yet
acquired the experience batting in a test. But they are all fast learning, talented
and most of them are young, eager to learn types. They have also chosen to bat
first.
2. The
score is astonishingly 180/0 within the first 30 overs. Even when the (Economy)
ball is swinging and seaming like crazy. BJP is batting superbly and all
opponents can do is dry up runs (slow GDP growth).
3. The
opponent team has already lost its captain soon as the game began to injury and
the vice captain way past her prime and even more unfit, has cramps and can
barely run, has been forced take over.
4. The
bowlers from the opponents are all spinners and the only medium pacer it has,
is been carted all round the park.
5. The
BJP has spectacularly talented bunch of pace/swing/seam bowlers in their line
up, who are yet to bowl. To make matters worse for the opponents they have the
best all-rounders and spinners who are yet to come into play.
6. To
add to all this one-sidedness, the opponent INC team has no batsmen who can bat
for long hours. Fielders are hilariously incompetent and outdated. Some of them
(INC) are even game for fixing if it’s profitable.
The state election at the end of
the year is the stumps on day one. If the BJP end up winning the three states,
which looks very likely, then the equivalent test score on day one would look
like 360/0 from 90 overs. Chances of winning the game will look very bleak for
the INC from their on and there might be multiple records broken by the BJP.
Imagine where this will leave the
INC and its fellow teammates. They have already comprehensively lost the first
test in an innings defeat (2014 – 2019) and are likely heading for an even
worse defeat in the second test (2019 – 2024).
If this is a three test match
series for NaMo, then BJP under NaMo is likely heading for a series victory and
possibly a whitewash. But the whitewash is much needed, which could also lead
to a series win if the test series is even extended to 5 or 4 test match series
(3 out of 5/4).
A whitewash is guaranteed with one
thing only and that is Economy. Narendra Modi has to understand this and really
tackle the India ’s
economy both from bottom up and top down.
Massive constructive and positive pro free market reforms
accompanied by gigantic tax breaks and incentives towards private investment is
need of the hour. Foreign money should flood India like there is no tomorrow.
Last to fall…
So INC is reaching a point of no
return for another decade if this keeps up. As I used to write in my Disqus account (Unfortunately vanished),
Sonia Gandhi or anyone from the Gandhi family is a very poor choice. Every single forecast of mine with regards
to INC came true. Not once did I fail to grasp the larger picture in regards to
Political context of India .
I can proudly claim 13 of 13 of my forecast on INC came true and 10 of 13
forecasts on BJP came true, with 2 coming true but a bit late for my liking and
1 where I completely underestimated BJP.
The amount
of suicidal actions engaged by the left liberals and INC in particular is truly
insane. The perpetual cycle of self destruction and denial is taking a heavy
toll on the Left liberal polity and it has reached beyond retrieve.
Let’s just
say INC miraculously manage to hold on to whatever political strength and
somehow put up a fight with every ounce of strength they have in addition to
spending all their financial resources to defeat the Rightist/BJP, the best
they (INC) could achieve is a solitary victory in Tamil Nadu, Kerala and West
Bengal in a decreasing sense of certainty.
So in the
foreseeable future, INC, Other Opposition like TMC, DMK and left has no chance of
winning or retaining any state apart from the Tamil Nadu, Kerala and West Bengal . Punjab is
becoming increasingly dicey as the INC is not really firing on all cylinders
and SAD + BJP is slowly creeping up electorally. All this is because of the
complete disconnect between INC leadership and state Government.
There are
only 2 state governments under BJP/NDA that looks to be underperforming, namely
Bihar and Karnataka. In both states the
opposition is in complete disarray. Karnataka being my home state is heading
for stall with no party or institution competent enough to develop the state or
provide basic leadership.
The recent imprisonment of Chidambaram
and others would have sent shock waves not just within the opposition, but also
the cagey allies of the BJP, no doubt. I do not think BJP will be challenged
even internally from the NDA allies for the foreseeable future. Unless BJP does
something monumentally stupid and gets itself tied in knots, BJP should have
undeterred free run.
The question that always remain is of the economy…
I am not sure how BJP
under NaMo would put INDIA
towards a sustainable 8% GDP real growth with 4% inflation rate soon. We know
the issues, needs and solutions, but will Narendra Modi take the call?
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