Tragic end of Shiv Sena…

Tragic end of Shiv Sena…

Shiv Sena may form a government in alliance with Congress and NCP (2019) in Maharashtra.

This is a tragic conclusion of Shiv Sena as an electorally viable party, who in their myopic view, permanently messed up a genuinely good mandate they got along with BJP.

They have ended up gifting a major chunk of their vote share, organisational strength, Ideological Heft and political credibility to the BJP.

This would not be a bad thing, but the fact is BJP lost a true ideological ally, even though BJP will become exponentially stronger in Maharashtra, they (NDA) most certainly will loose an ideological friend.

Shiv Sena in all probability might form a government and will put their man as the Chief Minster. Looking at Karnataka (JDS-INC), J&K (BJP – PDP) and Bihar (RJD – JDU), this Shiv Sena led UPA government will be lucky if they survive for even 2 years.

They (Shiv Sena) will loose a spectacular share of BMC Local legislature strength in Mumbai to the BJP and might even loose all their party workers outside of Mumbai. The BJP which has around 27% vote share in the state would go up to 37% and Shiv Sena would end up at around 10% vote share in the next assembly election. Thus, it would be difficult for Shiv Sena to even cross 25 seats in the next assembly.

In the national level, the shiv sena is out of contention for good. Electorally it is highly doubtful if they even get to win more than 1 or 2 Lok Sabha seats.

In a three horse race, where UPA (NCP +INC) have a combined vote share of 32%, Shiv Sena at 10%, NDA (BJP +RPI ++) at 40% and VBA, AIMIM, Indepndents and all others at 20%; BJP led NDA would romp home comfortably with a 150+ seats. Shiv Sena would become a fringe player in the assembly and loose BMC for good; thus, bringing an end to the political relevance of Shiv Sena.

This is a tragic end of Shiv Sena…